An Exercise In Logic; AGW

Does Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) really exist? AGW is the basic concept that humans are negatively impacting the earth’s environment, that this is increasing the earths overall temperature, and that is having an overall negative impact on the planet and life as we know it.       

I’m writing this as an analytical researcher, so it is more an “experiment” in logic than an essay on scientific facts. I’m surely not well informed enough to make this a full proof examination of AGW and my understanding of some of the facts may be inaccurate, so I am also looking for both “corrective” feedback on both the scientific claims, I believe are true, as well as the logical methodology in use. The reason I’m doing it, is because I have never seen anyone else do it, at least from a logical standpoint, but I’m surely not saying that is even true, so unmalicious corrective feedback, if the TOADS can help themselves, is requested. FYI: TOADS are like trolls, just uglier and more obvious.      

I believe the truth is, IMHO, “we don’t know” 1. if global warming is occurring or 2. if it is being caused by human actions and 3. If it is having an adverse effect on our planet. What I think everyone would acknowledge, is we are definitely polluting our planet, it is causing problems and we should definitely take the necessary actions to improve this. I think everyone also acknowledges climate change always occurs. The great debate is, if humans are negatively impacting it and what if any effects are serious enough to warrant taking drastic actions or curbing existing activities.

Does Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) really exist?      

Despite the numerous studies by those claiming to have the proof, they all fall short in various ways of providing the required evidence and it’s actually pretty easy to understand this from a logical standpoint.

  1. All the temperature models are at best educated guesses. Why? Because the various “assumptions” that are being made are also, at best, educated guesses, as to each variable, that could potentially affect the climate’s temperature. The fact is, the models do not have all the variables even utilized in them, much less those still unknown. The concept that we are including all the potential variables that could potentially affect the earth’s temperature, would be ridiculously naïve, because of what little we actually know and can prove about the universe. As an example, we do not know how much the effects of electro-magnetism have on temperature or global warming or even how to effectively measure it to make such determinations. We can’t really even explain gravity, but only the results of it and many think the earth electro-magnetic field(s) play a significant role, if not the predominant role on gravity. Electro-magnetism is invisible to the eye, so we have to use various instruments to even envision it. Another example; scientists just discovered, a few years ago, an active volcanic range underneath the artic ice sheet, so all the temperature models prior to that, could not have had that variable in them. Additional the measurements of the temperatures of the ice sheet done taken by other scientists, may or may not have been affected by the volcanic activity. More unknowns that could not have been factored into the models, making them at best and educated guess.
  2. The modelers are also not very forthright with the full disclosures as to the specifics on this issue, claiming proprietary protections as their excuse for not allowing other mathematicians and scientists to look under the proverbial hood. How convenient. It surely stops the peer review process by anyone other than who they allow to review their models. We’re get to cronyism and corruption later.       
  3. They must also make “assumptions” as the percentage effect, each variable, such as solar radiation and flares, have on temperature, another guestimate as it is jokingly called.  Both Solar Radiation and flares are constantly changing in intensity and frequencies, so it is likely impossible to determine a 100% accurate measurement creating another educated guestimate.
  4. The amount of poor scientific examination and claims throughout history has been well documented, both past and present as human integrity is surely always in play. One source, has stated that not one prior “scientifically” backed claim, has ever been proven to be true, as to either temperature increases or decreases, or its effects. The total amount of unethical behavior is quite saddening and many of our most prominent institutions are collapsing, such as the Catholic Church and Hollywood’s affliction with the coercive nature of sexual predation on the young. Most of the MSM outlets are obviously direct mouth pieces of one or both of the two major political parties. It’s very obvious CNN is a Democratic voice and Fox is a Republican voice. I’ll let you decide on the other marketing and advertising agencies, we erroneously think are giving us the “news” and more importantly the truth. Here is a recent example: https://principia-scientific.com/state-climatologist-makes-fake-severe-weather-climate-claims/

Logic tells use, if the assumptions are wrong or some are missing, the potential of the conclusion(s) being correct, is extremely low. Despite our increases in knowledge, there is still so little we know about our world. We should however stop polluting our planet with things we know we can prove, without destroying the very technologies and benefits they have given us. Trying to micromanage pollution through government planning has not yielded the net benefits intended because of the ill effect they have caused. This has been proven and there is substantial written and verbal communication on this issue.            

Great Political Lie (GPL)

“Is, that those elected will represent only their voting constituency”, and not those that provided them the necessary money to pay the media to promote their candidacy.

This of course should answer the question, “Why is there such political bias in the MSM”? Because to win an election, candidates must pay to promote themselves and the MSM, i.e. the television networks, radio stations, newspapers, and now their internet sources such as Yahoo, MSNBC, MSN, Facebook, Twitter, YouTube, New York Times, Washington Post and others, are the recipients of that advertising money. You don’t think all these media outlets are doing all that work and expenses for free, do you? First and foremost, they are marketing and advertising agencies and they in reality simply disguise themselves as a purveyor of the News to get you to see and listen to their ads.

Each year more and more money is raised and spent by the politicians and the Two major Parties, totaling $billions, most of which goes to the corporate owned media, we call the Main Stream Media (MSM). See study at the end of this essay. Statistical Summary of the 24-month campaign activity 2019-2020 election cycle.  https://www.fec.gov/updates/statistical-summary-24-month-campaign-activity-2019-2020-election-cycle/

The two major Parties are of course simply extensions of the system. More like the selection committee and coaches weeding through and trying to narrow down each race to a single individual candidate the think should be monetarily sponsored by their Party and membership. This puts unsponsored or third-party candidates in an almost unwinnable position because the wealthy special interests are going to primarily support the sponsored candidate each party has selected. This does not hold true in every case, but surely the vast majority. As an example, incumbents are reelected between 75% and 98% of the time in the U.S. House of Representative. “On only four occasions did more than 20 percent of incumbents seeking re-election actually lose their races.” https://www.thoughtco.com/do-congressmen-ever-lose-re-election-3367511

If your business or industry needs to back a candidate of a specific Party, you go with who the party most often-times select, or you most likely just wasted your money. If you are thinking about running yourself, just remember, you are not going to raise enough money to compete against the sponsored candidates, without being vetted by the Party leaders and you becoming the one monetarily sponsored, excluding all others. All candidates pretty much become subservient to the Party. You would never realize that, from how often they vote along Party lines? (sarcasm)                

If you think some great leader is going to come along and change the system, you should immediately turn yourself into the nearest psychiatric ward. Why do you think Donald Trump didn’t pardon Julian Assange after praising Wikileaks numerous times during his candidacy? You don’t get elected without the media and the media is owned by very wealthy special interests and those like Trump, Biden and Pelosi really work for them and their cronies and investors. They do not want people like Assange exposing the corruption they are actively influencing.        

Government have been operating in the way since at least the Roman Empire. We know this because they kept very good records. They too, bankrupted the majority and government with excessive taxes and regulations, while given benefits and contracts to the wealthiest special interests. The Dutch and the British also did it when they were the dominate nations of their day.

It’s as if, it’s the nature of government. Tax the majority and provide benefits such as corporate subsidies, grants, tax incentives, lucrative government contracts, and even jobs to the children, relatives and cronies for the wealthiest campaign contributors.  

If you want to know why all governments in history have failed, no matter how they are structured or the quality of the elements of their Constitutions, well, this is one of the primary reasons. The two things they are supposed to do is 1. Do what is in the best interest of the majority and 2. provide stability. Instead with have gotten conflict, political infighting, corruption, a larger number of wars and government failures over relatively short periods of time. For three quarters of the countries in the world, their most recent governments are less than 50 years old and the U.S. is arguably 140 years old, since the southern States seceded and had to be forced back int the Union and their State Constitutions rewritten. England’s most recent government is about the same age, after the last one collapsed in the late 1800s.        

If a democracy doesn’t work, and they haven’t, a democratic republic which is simply an extension, with elected representation, is surely not going to work, due to at the very least, the Great Political Lie (GPL).

This should of course inspire the Great Political Question: is government the necessary evil, that some argue and that is allegedly the current “consensus” of opinion?  

Maybe we could prohibit Political Advertising and Campaign Contributions in excess of certain amounts? This has of course historically been done and it created a black market or other methods to fill the void between the ruling classes money and the candidates selected by the political Parties. There are a number of countries that have unsuccessfully attempted this. What happens is the wealthy themselves start running for office using their own money and they do it now, even with very few campaign restrictions in place. People like Trump, Pelosi, Bloomberg and others simply fill in the void until legislation is passed that allows the poorer individuals to compete for the various political positions. They are paid back through legal but unrelated business deals or donations to their charities and trusts which is done in great amounts, even today.

“Oliver Wouters, a researcher from the London School of Economics, recently published research analyzing the lobbying expenditures and election contributions of pharmaceutical and health product industries. His results, published in JAMA Internal Medicine, reveal that the pharmaceutical and health product industries spent a total of $4.7 billion on lobbying the federal government, $877 million on state candidates and committees, and $414 million on presidential and congressional electoral campaigns, national party committees, and outside spending groups between 1999-2018. This spending was paralleled by an increase in per-person spending on prescription drugs from 1999 ($510/person, adjusted for inflation) to 2017 ($1025/person, adjusted for inflation)”  https://www.madinamerica.com/2020/03/pharma-spent-6-billion-lobbying-politicians-last-20-years/  It looks like the big money is in being a lobbyist. Remember this doesn’t include the amount of money directly paid by Big Pharma to advertise their drugs and vaccines though the corporate media, which is also in the $Billions. Big Pharma shells out $20 billion “each year” to schmooze docs, $6 Billion on drug ads: https://arstechnica.com/science/2019/01/healthcare-industry-spends-30b-on-marketing-most-of-it-goes-to-doctors/

Additional Sources:

Political Payoffs, https://reason.com/1975/07/01/political-payoffs/

Oil, gas firms give more cash to Democrats resisting carbon fees, https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/oil-gas-firms-give-more-cash-to-democrats-resisting-carbon-fees/ar-AARDZeT

List of Richest Politicians, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_richest_American_politicians#Unsuccessful_presidential_candidates

Links on Corporate Media:  

Corporate Media: https://wikispooks.com/wiki/Corporate_media

These 6 Corporations Control 90% of the Media In America: https://www.businessinsider.com/these-6-corporations-control-90-of-the-media-in-america-2012-6?op=1 This is a 2012 article and since then, several of these entities have been sold to other prominent corporations, and thus are under the control of the wealthiest major shareholders and owners. You have to go to the investor filings to find that such companies like Black Rock, Vanguard and few others are on most of the lists. It appears the ruling class keeps consolidated their wealth and power into a very small select group of companies, trusts, charities and holding companies and keep changing them periodically for some reasons, only they know. Perhaps to include or exclude those families and individuals who are part of the ruling class.

The Corporate Media Is Now Controlled By The Radical Left: https://thefederalist.com/2020/06/11/the-corporate-media-is-now-controlled-by-the-radical-left/

Mass Media In The United States: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mass_media_in_the_United_States

Concentration of Media Ownership: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Concentration_of_media_ownership This shows the worldwide concentration of ownership.  

These 15 Billionaires Own America’s News Media Companies: https://www.forbes.com/sites/katevinton/2016/06/01/these-15-billionaires-own-americas-news-media-companies/?sh=e124969660ad – Once again an older article from 2016, so several names have now changed on this list. – You’ll find most of the entities you read or listen to under the ownership of these folks, so you are now warned. Their motivations are both political and monetary and their primary concerns are seldom socially motivated. Their organizations operate on advertising and marketing revenue and industries like Big Pharma are major clients, perhaps with their use of so many products from Big Chemical, the most powerful commercial interests in the world. If you wonder why politicians are pushing Big Pharma’s vaccines and drugs so incessantly, simply follow the money.

Ten Things Your Liberal Friends & Family Don’t Understand

  1. No free-market monopoly has ever had a significant impact on society either in prices or wages. Only the government granted monopolies like utilities and central banking have had adverse impacts on society.   
  2. That tariffs and taxes have an adverse impact on society as companies and consumers end up paying higher prices for both goods and services.
  3. That a central banking system, such as the Federal Reserve Bank of the United States and its member banks does not stop major economic recessions, bank runs and insolvencies/bankruptcies as its proponents promised.
  4. That social and corporate welfare does not accomplish diminishing poverty and the gap in wage and wealth disparity between the poor and wealthy.
  5. That scientists cannot access or repair the cumulative effects that cause or benefit Global Warming. We simply do not know all the factors that impact earth’s climate or how much each affects it. We can only try to both access and repair the direct affects humans are having on our planet, like air and water pollution, environmental impact of agriculture and the various forms of flora, fauna and mineral harvesting. As an example, how much adverse effects does mining have on global warming, as compared to the benefits and adverse effects of solar flaring and radiation. Without the sun we cannot live, but solar flaring can cause both increases and decreases in the earth’s temperature and to what degree we can only attempt to measure and hypothesize due to constant change and the unknown factors.
  6. That the 230+/- Governments and United Nations have done a poor job at solving the many effects humans are negatively impacting the environment. Poor garbage collections and recycling systems and the abundance of garbage found in nature are just a few of the many examples.
  7. That the mandated social policies of the various government health officials around the world, especially those in the European Union, the WHO and the Americas, did more harm than good in the handling of the Covid-19 outbreak.
  8. That the monetary costs of providing all these failed social policies are bankrupting both the governments and the majorities within many of the political jurisdictions, like Illinois, New York, Michigan and the Federal Government.
  9. That the social costs of the vast levels of force and coercion that are required, and that occur because of the collection and redistribution of wealth, are having massive deleterious effects on our society, both psychologically and sociologically. The levels of discontentment and conflict caused by the numerous factors in this document, in addition to others, has never been higher in at least 75 years. Many social problems such suicides, overdoes, crime, rebellion, incarcerations, government prosecutions, government corruption and manipulations, poverty, homelessness, food insecurity, starvation and many diseases are at or near all-time highs like diabetes and cancer.  
  10. That it’s NOT the free-market capitalist system that has caused all these problems, when it is clear, that as the government has grown in size, costs, and scope of almost unlimited powers over the 20th and now 21st centuries, we have diminished in most of the social and economic categories the government is responsible for and many others the social engineers have caused. Our money is not even free market derived any more, causing massive levels of inflation, thanks to the government and central banking system. We have over 150 taxes and regulatory fee, diminishing the output and prosperity of the civilian population, while benefiting primarily the bureaucracy and government contractors. That is fascism Comrades, when a large percentage of the massive annual Federal budget of over $5.5 trillion goes to various commercial interests such as the military industrial complex to support the military and police state apparatus, Big Pharma, Big Chemical, Big Oil and Big Agriculture. Fascism: when State and private monetary interests merge and collude to control the vast network of commercial and social assets and the means of production. – In a true free market capitalist system, there would be a few and low taxes, governments would be small with very limited powers and the markets would dictate interest rates, the amount of money in circulation and loan underwriting standards, not central banks, member banks and the government.